JDEP:EURONEXT AMSTERDAMJDE Peet's NV Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-11 - not real-time
$18.28
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
JDE Peet's trades at $18.28, nearly three times its DCF‑derived fair value of $7.56, indicating a significant premium. The stock sits just below its 20‑day (18.59) and 50‑day (18.75) moving averages, with a bearish MACD histogram and a neutral RSI around 43, suggesting limited upside momentum in the near term.
The company delivers modest revenue growth of 5.4% and thin operating margins (~7.5%), but it supports a 2.33% dividend yield with a comfortable payout ratio of 45% and strong free cash flow. However, the balance sheet shows high leverage (debt‑to‑equity ~49) and a beta below 0.6, pointing to lower market volatility but heightened financial risk.
The company delivers modest revenue growth of 5.4% and thin operating margins (~7.5%), but it supports a 2.33% dividend yield with a comfortable payout ratio of 45% and strong free cash flow. However, the balance sheet shows high leverage (debt‑to‑equity ~49) and a beta below 0.6, pointing to lower market volatility but heightened financial risk.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Price well above DCF fair value
- Bearish MACD and price below short‑term averages
- Limited upside momentum (RSI ~43)
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Attractive dividend yield with sustainable payout
- Stable cash flow generation
- Moderate valuation relative to peers
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Defensive consumer sector positioning
- Potential for margin improvement through cost efficiencies
- High leverage requiring monitoring
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth5.40%
Profit Margin8.02%
P/E Ratio19.7
ROE7.18%
ROA2.02%
Debt/Equity48.96
P/B Ratio0.7
Op. Cash Flow$1.4B
Free Cash Flow$628.6M
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI42.8
Support$17.91
Resistance$19.36
MA 20$18.59
MA 50$18.75
MA 200$17.22
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index76.91
Valuation
Fair Value$7.56
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield2.33%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.57
Volatility22.07%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.